The Nexus between Access to Electricity and Growth of Non-agricultural GDP in Bangladesh

Authors

  • Subrata Saha MBSTU Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.69728/jst.v12.112

Keywords:

Non-agricultural GDP, Electricity, Farm Size, Fixed Effect Model, and Feasible Generalized Least Squares.

Abstract

Electricity is significant for the non-agricultural sector, as it is power intensive. In this paper, we examine the role of electricity in fostering the development of non-agriculture GDP. We use data from the Household Income and Expenditure Survey to conduct the analysis based on panel data sets generated for 64 districts of Bangladesh over the period from 2000 to 2022. Using econometric methods such as fixed effects, ordinary least squares, panel-corrected standard errors, and feasible generalized least squares, the paper finds that there is a relationship between access to electricity and non-agricultural GDP. The findings show that electricity is pivotal to transitioning the Bangladesh economy from an agrarian-based to a non-agrarian-based economy. Furthermore, there is a positive correlation between access to mobile phones and education, whereas there is a negative correlation between farm size and non-agricultural GDP. The results suggest that access to electricity can be increased by improving infrastructure availability in rural and remote areas to enhance non-farm growth. Public policy, private sector involvement, and government supported efforts for improving educational access, mobile phones access as well as land distribution are also helpful in aiding non-agricultural GDP growth.

References

Al Abbasi, A. A., Alam, M. J., Saha, S., Begum, I. A., & Rola-Rubzen, M. F. (2024). Impact of rural transformation on rural income and poverty for sustainable development in Bangladesh: A moments-quantile regression with fixed-effects models Approach. Sustainable Development, October, 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.3276

Abokyi, E., Appiah-Konadu, P., Sikayena, I., & Oteng-Abayie, E. F. (2018). Consumption of Electricity and Industrial Growth in the Case of Ghana. Journal of Energy, 2018, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/8924835

Aiyar, A., Rahman, A., & Pingali, P. (2021). India’s rural transformation and rising obesity burden. World Development, 138, 105258. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105258

Akinlo, T., & Apanisile, O. T. (2014). Electricity and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from panel data. International Journal of Energy and Statistics, 02(04), 301–312. https://doi.org/10.1142/s2335680414500203

Arouna, A., Michler, J. D., & Lokossou, J. C. (2021). Contract farming and rural transformation: Evidence from a field experiment in Benin. Journal of Development Economics, 151(September 2020), 102626. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2021.102626

Bal, D. P., Patra, S. K., & Mohanty, S. (2022). Impact of sectoral decompositions of electricity consumption on economic growth in India: evidence from SVAR framework. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(34), 51554–51566. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-19352-2

Baten, R. H., & Saha, S. (2022). Poverty and Social Impact of the Stipend Program for Secondary School Girls of Sirajganj District in Bangladesh : Poverty and Social Impact Analysis. International Journal of Innovation, Creativity and Change, 16(2).

Buhaerah, P. (2018). The Effect of Electricity Consumption and Industrialization on Economic Growth. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan, 26(2), 93–103.

Bose, T. K., Uddin, R., & Mondal, A. (2013). Impacts of Electricity Access to Rural SMEs. International Journal of Managing Value and Supply Chains, 4(4), 17–28. https://doi.org/10.5121/ijmvsc.2013.4402

Barro, R. J., & Lee, J.-W. (2019). A New Data Set of Educational Attainment in the World, 1950-2010No Title. Journal of Development Economics, 99(2), 219–234.

Chakravorty, U., Pelli, M., & Marchand, B. U. (2014). Does the Quality of Electricity Matter ? Evidence from Rural India Evidence from Rural India.

Chowdhury, M., & Khan, M. (2025). Nexus between infrastructural development and economic growth: Evidence from Bangladesh through auto-regressive distributive lag and nonlinear auto regressive distributive lag analysis. Journal of Tropical Futures, 21(1), 37–53.

Cust, J., Singh, A., & Neuhoff, K. (2016). Rural Electrification in India: Economic and Institutional Aspects of Renewables. SSRN Electronic Journal, December. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2760810

Danquah, M., & Iddrisu, A. M. (2018). Access to mobile phones and the wellbeing of non-farm enterprise households: Evidence from Ghana. Technology in Society, 54, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techsoc.2018.01.012

Fu, X., & Akter, S. (2016). The Impact of Mobile Phone Technology on Agricultural Extension Services Delivery: Evidence from India. Journal of Development Studies, 52(11), 1561–1576. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2016.1146700

Henry, J. T., Ndem, B. E., Ujong, O. L., & Ihuoma, C. M. (2021). Electric power deficit and economic growth in Nigeria: A sectoral analysis. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 11(6), 508–516. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.11491

Hossain, M. F., Hossain, S., & Uddin, M. J. (2017). Renewable energy: Prospects and trends in Bangladesh. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 70(August 2014), 44–49. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2016.11.197

Hsiao, C. (2007). Panel data analysis advantages and challenges. TEST, 16(1), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11749-007-0046-x

Ho, S. P. S., & Lin, G. C. S. (2004). Non-Agricultural Land Use in Post-Reform. China Quarterly, 179, 758–781.

Islam, F., Kazal, M., & Rahman, M. (2016). Potentiality on e-commerce in the rural community of Bangladesh. Progressive Agriculture, 27(2), 207–215. https://doi.org/10.3329/pa.v27i2.29332

Islam, S., & Khan, Z. R. (2017). A review of energy sector of Bangladesh. Energy Procedia, 110(December 2016), 611–618. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2017.03.193

Islam, M. R., & Mia, A. (2007). The role of education for rural population transformation in Bangladesh. International Journal of Work-Integrated Learning, 8(1), 1–21.

Jaba, E. (2017). Panel data analysis applied in financial performance assessment. Revista Română de Statistică, 65(2), 3–20.

Kim, J. H. (2019). Multicollinearity and misleading statistical results. Korean Journal of Anesthesiology, 72(6), 558–569. https://stat.duke.edu/~kfl5/Lock_RREE_Results_2010.pdf

Kirubi, C., Jacobson, A., Kammen, D. M., & Mills, A. (2009). Community-Based Electric Micro-Grids Can Contribute to Rural Development: Evidence from Kenya. World Development, 37(7), 1208–1221. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2008.11.005

Li, Y., Chen, C., Wang, Y., & Liu, Y. (2014). Urban-rural transformation and farmland conversion in China: The application of the environmental Kuznets Curve. Journal of Rural Studies, 36, 311–317. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2014.10.005

Mani, L. (2024). Gravitating towards the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Challenges for Transforming Smart Bangladesh. Pakistan Journal of Life and Social Sciences (PJLSS), 22(1), 3324–3334. https://doi.org/10.57239/pjlss-2024-22.1.00241

Miskat, M. I., Ahmed, A., Rahman, M. S., Chowdhury, H., Chowdhury, T., Chowdhury, P., Sait, S. M., & Park, Y. K. (2021). An overview of the hydropower production potential in Bangladesh to meet the energy requirements. Environmental Engineering Research, 26(6). https://doi.org/10.4491/eer.2020.514

Olanrele, I. (2018). Revisiting Electricity-Economic Growth Nexus in Sub-Sahara Africa: Perspectives from Nigeria and South Africa. International Journal of Management and Sustainability, 7(3), 180–193. https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.11.2018.73.180.193

Rarasati, A. D., Ardian, M. D., Setiawan, E. A., & Mohammad, I. H. (2019). Community behavior analysis of electricity consumption in rural areas (a case study of Batang Regency). IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, 550(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1757-899X/550/1/012002

Rahman, S. M., Kirshner, J., Groh, S., & Rahman, S. M. (2022). A Review of the Energy-employment Nexus in Bangladesh : Rural-urban Electrification and Sectoral Occupation Patterns. Strategic Planning for Energy and the Environment, 41(3), 317–344. https://doi.org/10.13052/spee1048-5236.4134

Rufai, A. M., Ogunniyi, A. I., Salman, K. K., Salawu, M. B., & Omotayo, A. O. (2021). Rural transformation and labor market outcomes among rural youths in Nigeria. Sustainability (Switzerland), 13(24), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132413794

Saha, S., Alam, M. J., Al Abbasi, A. A., Begum, I. A., & Rola-Rubzen, M. F. (2025). Shifting Landscape of Rural Transformation in Bangladesh: Exploring the Interplay of Non-Farm GDP, Infrastructure and Education. Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.1002/app5.70011

Saha, S., Alam, M. J., Al Abbasi, A. A., Begum, I. A., Rola-Rubzen, M. F., & McKenzie, A. M. (2025). Impact of human capital and remittances on agricultural productivity in Bangladesh. Journal of Agriculture and Food Research, 22(May), 102073. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jafr.2025.102073

Saha, S. K. (2025). Empowering rural South Asia: Off-grid solar PV, electricity accessibility, and sustainable agriculture. Applied Energy, 377(124639).

Senaviratna, N. A. M. R., & A. Cooray, T. M. J. (2019). Diagnosing Multicollinearity of Logistic Regression Model. Asian Journal of Probability and Statistics, 5(2), 1–9. https://doi.org/10.9734/ajpas/2019/v5i230132

Shameem P, M., Villanthenkodath, M. A., & Chittedi, K. R. (2022). Economic growth and sectoral level electricity consumption nexus in India: new evidence from combined cointegration and frequency domain causality approaches. . . International Journal of Sustainable Energy, 41(11), 1721–1738.

Saha, S., Alam, M. J., Al Abbasi, A. A., Begum, I. A., Rola-Rubzen, M. F., Parikh, P., & McKenzie, A. M. (2025). Can credit promote rural transformation? Evidence from district-level data in Bangladesh. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 12(1), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-04588-3

Saha, S., & Saha, S. K. (2023). Informal Economy and Agricultural Productivity in Bangladesh: a Time Series Analysis. Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej / Problems of Agricultural Economics, 376(3), 91–113. https://doi.org/10.30858/zer/171498

Stern, D. I., Burke, P. J., & Bruns, S. B. (2018). The impact of electricity on economic development: A macroeconomic perspective. International Review of Environmental and Resource Economics, 12(1), 85–127. https://doi.org/10.1561/101.00000101

Saha, S., Alam, M. J., Al Abbasi, A. A., Begum, I. A., Parikh, P., & Rola-Rubzen, M. F. (2025). The Effect of Rural Land Mortgaging on Rural Transformation at the Regional Level in Bangladesh. Land Degradation and Development, 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.5476

Saha, S. K., Saha, S., & Lubna, M. M. (2021). The Impact of Foreign Aid on Economic Growth: Context of Bangladesh. Scholars Journal of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences, 9(8), 241–349. https://doi.org/10.36347/sjahss.2021.v09i08.001

Saha, S, Sultana, A., & Saha, S. K. (2022). Determinants Of Female Labor Force Participation In Tangail District In Bangladesh: A Logistic Regression Analysis. CrossCultural Management …, XXIV(1), 45–57. https://seaopenresearch.eu/Journals/articles/CMJ2022_I1_5.pdf

Saha, Subrata, Alam, M. J., Al Abbasi, A. A., Begum, I. A., Rola-Rubzen, M. F., Parikh, P., & McKenzie, A. M. (2025). Effect of irrigation on rural transformation and income at the district level in Bangladesh. Plos One, 20(6 June), 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0326504

Tuyen, Q. (2014). A review on the link between nonfarm employment, land and rural livelihoods in developing countries and Vietnam. Ekonomski Horizonti, 16(2), 113–123. https://doi.org/10.5937/ekonhor1402117t

Ullan Awan, R., Akhtar, T., Rahim, S., And, S., & Cheema, A. R. (2018). Governance, Corruption, and Economic Growth: a Panel Data Analysis of Selected Saarc Countries. Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 56(1), 1–20.

Umali, M. A. (2024). Essays on mobile money and mobile banking in developing countries, Thesis submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy at the Australian National University,96-104,November, 2024, Canberra, Australia.

Zhang, L., Huang, J., & Rozelle, S. (2002). Employment, emerging labor markets, and the role of education in rural China. Revue d’Economie Du Developpement, 16(3–4), 191–212. https://doi.org/10.3917/edd.163.0191

Downloads

Published

23-06-2026

How to Cite

Saha, S. (2026). The Nexus between Access to Electricity and Growth of Non-agricultural GDP in Bangladesh. MBSTU Journal of Science and Technology, 12(1), 74-86. https://doi.org/10.69728/jst.v12.112